Is the world moving faster? And what does this mean for investing cycles?

We all feel that the world is moving faster. Is this true? and what does this mean for crypto/NFT investing cycles?

The first question is, will the move keep moving faster or will there be temporary hold?

I believe the world will keep accelerating. I draw to Ken Wilber’s observations and observations in physics.

In short, Ken Wilber observed that the world is moving towards more depth. Depth in complexity. Atoms form molecules, and molecules form complex organisms. In the modern world we get more sophisticated technology. For example blockchain and AI.

Perlmutter, Riess and Schmidt discovered in 1998 that the universe is expanding at at an accelerating rate, which was very shocking at that time.

Putting these two discoveries together, we can say that the evolution of everything in the universe is consistent and is happening at an accelerated rate. All our progress, from technology to culture falls under this.

What this means for investing cycles is that they are increasingly becoming shorter. If we take a look at the bitcoin cycle as opposed to the internet cycle the differences are astonishing.

The internet began in the 1980s. And then the market began to run until 2000 when the first cycle ended during the dot com bubble.

After the dot com bubble, Facebook was founded in 2004 and Youtube in 2005. Led by these giants, the second cycle ended in 2009 during the financial crisis. Nearly 10 years later.

And then Bitcoin came to life in 2009. While bitcoin had many cycles, the first major run ended in 2013. Five years later the second cycle ended in 2018. And now 4 years later the third cycle ended in 2022.

While it took the internet for about 25 years to gain mainstream actraction, it took blockchain about 13 years.

This has a few implications for longterm active/passive investors of this time. The first is that they (thankfully) don’t have to wait ages for their investments to florish. This could’ve been decades if they were investing in the past.

The second is that the skill to learn how to filter information is becoming more valuable. Because there is so much information overload. So many projects and companies are being created. And they can all do well.

The third implication is that, investors have much more choice when it comes to how to use their talents and intellect. Because the variety of products and ideas are broader, it requires different intelligence to understand them. From technology to sport, creatives, art.

This also means that more people will be able to make a living or a side living with investing. And I think this is very beautiful. People will have more spare time to focus on what they like, and investing will become more fun and befitting to individual’s talents.

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